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Rating, Ranking and Provisional Leaderboard of GEFCom2014"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nThe 12 evaluation weeks of GEFCom2014 just went by. Many contestants are curious to know about their rankings after such a marathon-type forecasting competition. Last weekend, I created a provisional leaderboard based on the scores I have documented on Inside Leaderboard. In this post, I will share this provisional leaderboard together with the rating and ranking methodology.\n\nAgain, this is not"},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/1297870184995530236\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/12\/rating-ranking-provisional-leaderboard-gefcom2014.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/1297870184995530236"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/1297870184995530236"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/12\/rating-ranking-provisional-leaderboard-gefcom2014.html","title":"Who's #1? Rating, Ranking and Provisional Leaderboard of GEFCom2014"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"media$thumbnail":{"xmlns$media":"http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/","url":"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-TPlmLVuLuqg\/VIZRV1jaVhI\/AAAAAAAAAsY\/e4BnMPiS8KI\/s72-c\/Carl%2BMeyer%2BRating%2BRanking.JPG","height":"72","width":"72"},"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-5394084114114391429"},"published":{"$t":"2014-11-24T14:30:00.001-05:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-11-24T14:40:26.689-05:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"fundamentals"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Documentation in Load Forecasting: 4 Reasons and 8 Elements"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nIn load forecasting, especially long term load forecasting, documentation is probably the most important task. The ultimate test of documentation quality is whether the forecasting system has been described in detail so that other people with relevant education background and experience can reproduce the forecasts.\n\nWhile forecasting is like an adventure, exploring an unknown trail, "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/5394084114114391429\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/11\/documentation-in-load-forecasting.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/5394084114114391429"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/5394084114114391429"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/11\/documentation-in-load-forecasting.html","title":"Documentation in Load Forecasting: 4 Reasons and 8 Elements"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-1030957379837444987"},"published":{"$t":"2014-11-18T23:53:00.000-05:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-11-19T22:00:17.280-05:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"fundamentals"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"terminology"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"weather"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Standard Time, Daylight Saving Time and Local Time"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\n\nThe earth is round like a ball. When it's night in the US, it's morning in China. To do business beyond a local region, people need a common reference to communicate time. Standard time is the synchronization of clocks in different geographical locations within a time zone to a common time standard, usually based on the meridian at the center of the time zone.\n\nDaylight saving time (DST) "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/1030957379837444987\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/11\/standard-time-daylight-saving-time-local-time.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/1030957379837444987"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/1030957379837444987"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/11\/standard-time-daylight-saving-time-local-time.html","title":"Standard Time, Daylight Saving Time and Local Time"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-4366709909984449296"},"published":{"$t":"2014-10-14T10:00:00.002-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-10-14T10:00:39.643-04:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"consulting"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"IEEE-WGEF"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"A Survey on Software Packages for Load Forecasting"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nI'm preparing a report on load forecasting for National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC), which will be published by the U.S. Department of Energy as a white paper in 2015. In one of the sections, I'd like to include a wide range of tools and solutions that are being used in practice. Although the case study is on long term load forecasting, I would be happy to include "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/4366709909984449296\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/10\/load-forecasting-software-packages-survey.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/4366709909984449296"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/4366709909984449296"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/10\/load-forecasting-software-packages-survey.html","title":"A Survey on Software Packages for Load Forecasting"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-7731411572105850590"},"published":{"$t":"2014-08-03T22:46:00.003-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-08-08T15:57:38.038-04:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"fundamentals"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"paper"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"13 Lucky Tips for Energy Forecasting"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nI recently wrote this article for Intelligent Utility. They used the title \"13 lucky tips to juggle the analytics of forecasting\". I have been using the INFORMS definition of analytics, which includes descriptive analytics (or summary statistics), predictive analytics (or forecasting) and prescriptive analytics (or optimization). Since forecasting is part of analytics, I'm using \"13 lucky tips "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/7731411572105850590\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/08\/13-lucky-tips-for-energy-forecasting.html#comment-form","title":"1 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/7731411572105850590"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/7731411572105850590"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/08\/13-lucky-tips-for-energy-forecasting.html","title":"13 Lucky Tips for Energy Forecasting"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"1"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-3783508821632838715"},"published":{"$t":"2014-05-27T21:57:00.000-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-07-02T02:13:33.186-04:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"career"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"consulting"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"course"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"student"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Three Free Online Non-Forecasting Courses"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nAs mentioned in my recent Foresight article (Energy Forecasting: Past, Present and Future), virtually all types of energy forecasts are connected. I believe that the best way to further advance our knowledge in such an interdisciplinary field is to take an interdisciplinary approach. Statistics is obviously a core subject in energy forecasting. On the other hand, many other important subjects "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/3783508821632838715\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/05\/three-free-online-non-forecasting-courses.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/3783508821632838715"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/3783508821632838715"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/05\/three-free-online-non-forecasting-courses.html","title":"Three Free Online Non-Forecasting Courses"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}}]}});