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The goal of forecasting is to make statements about the future, while the goal of data mining is to extract patterns from large datasets. (The term \"data mining\" was a buzzword 15 years ago to broadly refer to working on the data, which is a misuse.) Many techniques can be applied to both forecasting and data "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/5359099204767290459\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/12\/forecasting-data-mining.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/5359099204767290459"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/5359099204767290459"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/12\/forecasting-data-mining.html","title":"Forecasting and Data Mining"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-1297870184995530236"},"published":{"$t":"2014-12-08T20:45:00.003-05:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-12-29T11:47:56.073-05:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Who's #1? Rating, Ranking and Provisional Leaderboard of GEFCom2014"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nThe 12 evaluation weeks of GEFCom2014 just went by. Many contestants are curious to know about their rankings after such a marathon-type forecasting competition. Last weekend, I created a provisional leaderboard based on the scores I have documented on Inside Leaderboard. In this post, I will share this provisional leaderboard together with the rating and ranking methodology.\n\nAgain, this is not"},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/1297870184995530236\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/12\/rating-ranking-provisional-leaderboard-gefcom2014.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/1297870184995530236"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/1297870184995530236"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/12\/rating-ranking-provisional-leaderboard-gefcom2014.html","title":"Who's #1? Rating, Ranking and Provisional Leaderboard of GEFCom2014"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"media$thumbnail":{"xmlns$media":"http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/","url":"http:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-TPlmLVuLuqg\/VIZRV1jaVhI\/AAAAAAAAAsY\/e4BnMPiS8KI\/s72-c\/Carl%2BMeyer%2BRating%2BRanking.JPG","height":"72","width":"72"},"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-5394084114114391429"},"published":{"$t":"2014-11-24T14:30:00.001-05:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-11-24T14:40:26.689-05:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"best practices"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"fundamentals"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Documentation in Load Forecasting: 4 Reasons and 8 Elements"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nIn load forecasting, especially long term load forecasting, documentation is probably the most important task. The ultimate test of documentation quality is whether the forecasting system has been described in detail so that other people with relevant education background and experience can reproduce the forecasts.\n\nWhile forecasting is like an adventure, exploring an unknown trail, "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/5394084114114391429\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/11\/documentation-in-load-forecasting.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/5394084114114391429"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/5394084114114391429"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/11\/documentation-in-load-forecasting.html","title":"Documentation in Load Forecasting: 4 Reasons and 8 Elements"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-8622896256244154284"},"published":{"$t":"2014-09-20T22:29:00.001-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-12-10T09:34:50.149-05:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Inside Leaderboard"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nUpdate 11\/22\/2014:\n\nInclude a column showing the teams ineligible for the final leaderboard due to missing more than three submissions beating benchmark. \nThe first evaluation week (Task 4) of GEFCom2014 just went by. CrowdAnalytix publishes the leaderboard based on the best score of each team in real time. Since some teams made multiple submissions, that leaderboard won't reflect the real "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/8622896256244154284\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/09\/inside-leaderboard.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/8622896256244154284"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/8622896256244154284"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/09\/inside-leaderboard.html","title":"Inside Leaderboard"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-3652516027722936251"},"published":{"$t":"2014-09-11T21:32:00.000-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-09-11T21:40:10.792-04:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"Towards Winning GEFCom2014 - Six Must Read Recommendations before Evaluation Period Starts"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nGEFCom2014 had a super strong start. Within the first 4 weeks, we have had 225, 138, 126 and 135 solvers in the load, price, wind and solar tracks respectively. Totally 345 people have joined the LinkedIn group Global Energy Forecasting Competition. While many winning teams of GEFCom2012 came back to GEFCom2014 with very strong performance, several new faces also topped some of the tasks. Having"},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/3652516027722936251\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/09\/towards-winning-gefcom2014-six-recommendations.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/3652516027722936251"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/3652516027722936251"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/09\/towards-winning-gefcom2014-six-recommendations.html","title":"Towards Winning GEFCom2014 - Six Must Read Recommendations before Evaluation Period Starts"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-948271916102319696"},"published":{"$t":"2014-08-15T06:30:00.000-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-08-15T08:30:44.798-04:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"GEFCom2014 is ON - 8 Tips before You Join the Game"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nAfter one full year of planning and implementation, I'm pleased to announce that the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 is ON. Please visit CrowdANALYTIX.com to look for the four tracks.\n\nFor now, I will defer all the thanks to the end of the competition. (BTW, it will have to be a long thank-you letter, because so many people have devoted so many days and nights to set up this "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/948271916102319696\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/08\/gefcom2014-is-on-8-tips-before-you-join.html#comment-form","title":"0 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/948271916102319696"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/948271916102319696"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/08\/gefcom2014-is-on-8-tips-before-you-join.html","title":"GEFCom2014 is ON - 8 Tips before You Join the Game"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"0"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8877300363130773882.post-7833509835897568621"},"published":{"$t":"2014-08-05T22:13:00.002-04:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2014-09-23T08:29:21.677-04:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"GEFCOM"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"student"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"10 Recommended Papers for GEFCom2014 Contestants"},"summary":{"type":"text","$t":"\nUpdate 9\/20\/2014:\n\nRafal Weron's review on price forecasting is available on Science Direct with open access. The probabilistic load forecasting review paper written by Shu Fan and myself is currently under review by IJF. The link to the working paper is listed below.\nUpdate 8\/14\/2014:\n\nThanks to Rob Hyndman, who generously put Rafal Weron's forthcoming IJF paper on the web. Now we have a super "},"link":[{"rel":"replies","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/feeds\/7833509835897568621\/comments\/default","title":"Post Comments"},{"rel":"replies","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/08\/recommended-papers-for-gefcom2014-contestants.html#comment-form","title":"3 Comments"},{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/7833509835897568621"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/8877300363130773882\/posts\/default\/7833509835897568621"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/blog.drhongtao.com\/2014\/08\/recommended-papers-for-gefcom2014-contestants.html","title":"10 Recommended Papers for GEFCom2014 Contestants"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Tao Hong"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/09489402674214644453"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"http:\/\/img2.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"thr$total":{"$t":"3"}}]}});